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- Please no inappropriate usernames (remember that there may be youngsters in the room)
- Personal attacks on other community members are unacceptable, practice the good manners your mama taught you when engaging with fellow Dawg fans
- Use common sense and respect personal differences in the community: sexual and other inappropriate language or imagery, political rants and belittling the opinions of others will get your posts deleted and result in warnings and/ or banning from the forum
- 3/17/19 UPDATE -- We've updated the permissions for our "Football" and "Commit to the G" recruiting message boards. We aim to be the best free board out there and that has not changed. We do now ask that all of you good people register as a member of our forum in order to see the sugar that is falling from our skies, so to speak.
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Re: COVID-19 Check-in 2.0
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Re: COVID-19 Check-in 2.0
FWIW my projection was 4,072 for July which after today is 204 behind after losing 208 over the last 3 days. EDIT This projection was based on a 20 day lag. Based on the study I did last week where I examined the relationship between doubling cases and doubling deaths I came up with 28 day lag. I will use this for August… -
Re: COVID-19 Check-in 2.0
@Bankwalker To give the complete picture I show my post of 7/17 where I explained how I got to the 28 days. It's not like I made it up today. In my post earlier I admit that I got it wrong (was running behind). It's either that or Florida is running further behind in reporting deaths than previously. The key in modelling… -
Re: COVID-19 Check-in 2.0
>>The other factor is that in Florida the total cases as at June 30th was 150k with 290k coming in July. With an average Case to Death lag of 28 days, 65% of the cases would not yet expect to have resulted in any death determination. Texas and California would also have many deaths yet to happen from cases already… -
Re: COVID-19 Check-in 2.0
I started tracking the age distribution of Florida cases June 19th. See table All time until 6/19 the 55+ had 30909 cases or 35.3% of the 87643 total resident cases. The 14 days 6/20 to 7/3 there were 18,283 cases representing 20.8% of the total. The 14 days beginning July 4th show the cases increasing to 37,131 (more than… -
Re: COVID-19 Check-in 2.0
OK boys and girls lets get back on topic. Recess is over..... Update From The Sun Herald: Mississippi is nearing 50,000 total cases after an additional 1,610 cases were reported Friday for a total of 49,663, and 28 new deaths, 11 of which were from July 5-17. There are 975 people hospitalized with confirmed cases of… -
Re: COVID-19 Check-in 2.0
You can't compare NY, NY CFR with the current CFR for Florida etc. Even though the Florida testing is woefully inadequate the cases as a % of those newly tested is running at 12.6% since March 1st. The comparable % for NY and NJ as at April 14th were 41% and 49% respectively. This indicates that at that time the testing… -
Re: COVID-19 Check-in 2.0
I have analysed Florida testing for the last 14 days Tests - FLDOH Testing results Including people retested. NEW - Numbers to CDC first time tested only RETEST - By deduction those tests that relate to repeat tested individuals. As can be seen the Number of retests 7/9 accounted for 28% of all tests that day. This varied… -
Re: COVID-19 Check-in 2.0
The four I focus on are Florida, Georgia, Texas and to a lesser extent California as 3 months months ago I felt that they would be a problem. The last post covering Texas was back July 17th I think. Texas - their 7 day average doubled by June 18th. Positivity rate May 5,6%, June 10.7%. Deaths were in the mid 20s most of… -
Re: COVID-19 Check-in 2.0
Obviously Deaths are the most important data. I have looked at the 7 day average of cases which was very stable at the end of May. In June the 4 most problematic states FL, AZ, GA and TX gradually saw increases. Florida - it took until June 13th for the 7 day cases to double and posiivity rate increased from 3.5% for May…
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