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Gary Stokan: Chick-fil-A Peach bowl on Georgia’s current projected path, surprises ahead
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Gary Stokan: Chick-fil-A Peach bowl on Georgia’s current projected path, surprises ahead
ATHENS — The CFP Selection Committee added more ingredients into the college football mix, but the cake is not baked quite yet.
Comments
THEre are 4 teams above UGA that I wouldn't even bat an eye at playing.
Assuming the Dawgs take care of business and there are few upsets among other teams, there is a real chance they end up playing at Ole Miss again in the first round. I think it is very unlikely we see the Dawgs go to Tuscaloosa or Austin as the loser of the SECCG (assuming those two teams) would tumble to a 9-12 seed, and of course the winner would get a bye. In terms of potential "home game matchups" with other SEC teams, the loser of the SECCG is a potential visiting team, but the committee has made it clear they will keep Ole Miss ahead of UGA, so they would be unlikely candidates. If somehow the vols sneak back in, they could be another potential visitor. Tbh, with the exception of OSU, any other team the Dawgs potentially play in the first round should be a comfortable win.
As I understand it, we'd have to seed fifth, sixth, seventh or eighth to avoid a road game. (That's assuming we won't be going to the SECCG.)
The problem is that very few of the teams ahead Georgia are facing the kinds of challenges that would drop their seeds significantly.
If Indiana gets stomped by Ohio State, the Hoosiers should drop behind Georgia (so long as we play well in our two remaining games). If Alabama or Ole Miss got its third loss in the championship, they might drop behind us, too. Even Texas, as a two-loss SEC runner-up, might drop behind us; after all we beat them soundly in Austin.
But all other things being equal, dropping Indiana and the SEC loser behind us would move us only up to ninth — still a road game, possibly against one of the two teams that beat us on the road earlier in the season .
If Oregon wins a rematch against OSU, the Buckeyes would drop. But the way the committee is ridiculously undervaluing SoS, they might not drop a two-loss Buckeye team below Georgia, because both their losses would be to the No. 1 team. And if the Buckeyes win the B10, the Ducks and the Buckeyes would probably just switch places.
Big caveat on all this is that you never know in college football, which is one reason I love this game.
If we show more consistency over the next two games, however, seeding us to play a road game in the opening round would be unfair.
In the flip side, we also have ourselves to blame. Our inconsistency against Kentucky, Alabama, Mississippi State and Ole Miss (who am I leaving out) gives them a rationale for dropping us below where we ought to be.
Good summary. A couple of things to add. The main "committee" dude is a BIG10 guy. Who currently has 3 of the 4 first rd home games? The BIG10. "and what are you eating Jerry? Jerry's eating rice, huh." ND (coveted by the BIG10) has the 4th home game.
SEC being penalized for beating up on each other all but guarantees the SEC stays at 8 scheduled conference games for the foreseeable future. SEC teams are being discounted on their records only. You can bet that, if at all possible, this anti-SEC committee will be pitting SEC teams vs each other in the 1st rd of the playoff (and beyond). No way do they want 3 SEC teams in the final 4. AL, MS, UGA, TX and TN can all play with anyone in the country if they bring their B+ game.
We’ve got to hope and assume the CFP and its chairman will alter its focus some as the last two weeks finish up and bring SOS more into decisions. If they do, it should be a guarantee we’ll move up to at least 8, assuming we handle our own business. IU/OSU loser and Texas if they lose any game or Bama (SECCG) loss should drop below us. That’s just if things play out as programmed. There’s always a good chance for upsets along the way, and just about every team above us has hurdles to cross. ND this weekend at Army and then the rivalry game at USC; anything could happen. Miami has to play at a pretty good Syracuse team, that earlier beat Ga Tech. PSU is at Minnesota this week, again not a likely loss but….. Same for Ole Miss at an improving UF this week.
If the Texas/Tennessee Dawgs show up, there is not a team in the top 25 that would be favored….the B1G will soon fade away as they play true competition…..The Dawgs win each game they are paired with and it's a guaranteed NATTY.