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So what does Vegas think of UGA v ND?
Before the season began, odds were 2.5/3 in favor of ND. The odds for next weekend just came out.
ND is now favored by 6.5.
Comments
Gambler's odds are not the same as player's odds. Vegas type odds makers are only designed to motivate equal amounts being bet on each team.
They only want to pay off the winners with losers money, not their own.
That is true but Vegas (not me) believes that to get equal money on both sides, ND needs to give a td to UGA.
Early odds; however, are misleading. There isn't a sufficient sample size to quantify an accurate number.
UCLA was favored by 6 and they were destroyed for 3 quarters.
Their comeback was a fluke. It took some really poor coaching to allow this sort of thing to happen.
I watched both ND and UGA. Temple was horrible but they were gaining 5 yards easily in the run game. Just think what UGA would have done.
Personally, I think oddsmakers are counting on the public to believe that Temple and App St. are equally talented teams. They are not. App St is the better team.
I don't gamble (can't afford to with 5 kids) but if I did, I would take UGA and the 6.5 points!
I'd think that will go even higher on some books. It's one of those games where a lot of the country (newbie bettors) will go with the Irish, kicking it up. Meanwhile over under looks to be right at 53 which would be a tough one, at least for me, to pick.
Also not a gambler but I would be all over getting 6.5 pts with our D.
Well...I rarely, rarely bet on Georgia but this week I think I'll lay down a $100 if I can 6 points....maybe to win outright if I can get 2 to 1 odds....BTW...a word on odd makers.....these guys are the most unbiased people on the face of the earth...they don't care who is favored as long as they can get their 10%(more or less) off the top.
Great point. Wimbush performed well but there wasn't the pressure that a good defense inflicts on an inexperienced qb.
If I had to bet on composure for inexperienced qbs, I'll take Fromm.
I think we are #1 against the "pro-style" run but haven't seen us shut down a running QB yet. That scares me.
@Denmen185 , think Roquan gets assigned to shadow Wimbush specifically or will we do something else scheme-wise to account for it?
It would be hard for me to take Roquan out of the other plays to shadow wimbush. I think you do shadow him, just not w Roquan.
I think a lot of it is like they say about in baseball when a slugger gets old "pitching to the back of the baseball card".
They try to get people that have heard the Rockney stories and saw "Rudy" 4 times in the last 10 years to bet on the symbol that is Notre Dame.
Imho.
They had three 100+ yard rushers last Saturday. One was Wimbush. I share your concerns.
The key will be better discipline by the OLB to force him to stay inside and run into our strength
Respect your opinion sir, but I believe it will be down to -4 or -4 1/2 by game time Saturday. The difference between our defense and Temple's is night and day. I know we made a few mental mistakes this week, but I believe ND will have a much more difficult time putting up points on UGA. If Fromm plays within himself, we should still win this game.
The "Knee-jerk" reaction to Eason not playing will come back to reality before Saturday
It's already down to 6 some places. I think the right number is probably closer to -5 for ND, but I wouldn't touch this game.
If I did place a bet on this game, I would take UGA straight Moneyline right now, before it goes lower
It's down to 4.5 at most books.
There are some keeping it at 5 and a few at 4 but most are at 4.5.
Remember, home teams usually get 2.5-3 points for home field advantage.
For those who may not know, the "moneyline" is a wager without the spread.
So instead of taking UGA at -5 with the odds being -110 (betting $110 to win 100)
you take them to win without any points (aka straight up) with odds being +170 (bet $100 and win $170).
This is correct. I actually think the home field advantage is probably closer to 4 here. I think the line is dead accurate.
Home field/court is always -3 guys.