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So what does Vegas think of UGA v ND?

2

Comments

  • KingoftheSouthKingoftheSouth Posts: 570 ✭✭✭✭ Senior

    It's already down to 6 some places. I think the right number is probably closer to -5 for ND, but I wouldn't touch this game.

  • amjadawgsamjadawgs Posts: 1,546 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    @KingoftheSouth said:
    It's already down to 6 some places. I think the right number is probably closer to -5 for ND, but I wouldn't touch this game.

    If I did place a bet on this game, I would take UGA straight Moneyline right now, before it goes lower

  • ReeldawgReeldawg Posts: 971 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited September 2017

    It's down to 4.5 at most books.

    There are some keeping it at 5 and a few at 4 but most are at 4.5.

    Remember, home teams usually get 2.5-3 points for home field advantage.

    For those who may not know, the "moneyline" is a wager without the spread.

    So instead of taking UGA at -5 with the odds being -110 (betting $110 to win 100)

    you take them to win without any points (aka straight up) with odds being +170 (bet $100 and win $170).

  • KingoftheSouthKingoftheSouth Posts: 570 ✭✭✭✭ Senior

    @Reeldawg said:
    It's down to 4.5 at most books.

    There are some keeping it at 5 and a few at 4 but most are at 4.5.

    Remember, home teams usually get 2.5-3 points for home field advantage.

    This is correct. I actually think the home field advantage is probably closer to 4 here. I think the line is dead accurate.

  • amjadawgsamjadawgs Posts: 1,546 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    Home field/court is always -3 guys.

  • VaBeachDawgVaBeachDawg Posts: 1,453 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    If someone could clarify I would appreciate it.. So it was 6.5 after Monday's confirmation of Eason but now it's already down to 4.5? Does that mean a bunch of people took the points on UGA and drove the line closer to even?

  • amjadawgsamjadawgs Posts: 1,546 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    @Reeldawg said:
    It's down to 4.5 at most books.

    There are some keeping it at 5 and a few at 4 but most are at 4.5.

    Remember, home teams usually get 2.5-3 points for home field advantage.

    For those who may not know, the "moneyline" is a wager without the spread.

    So instead of taking UGA at -5 with the odds being -110 (betting $110 to win 100)

    you take them to win without any points (aka straight up) with odds being +170 (bet $100 and win $170).

    Thanks for adding; forgot that some may not know what the moneyline is. If you missed it at ND -6, it won't be that good anytime before Saturday.

  • amjadawgsamjadawgs Posts: 1,546 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    @VaBeachDawg said:
    If someone could clarify I would appreciate it.. So it was 6.5 after Monday's confirmation of Eason but now it's already down to 4.5? Does that mean a bunch of people took the points on UGA and drove the line closer to even?

    Yes, it happened just like the bookies wanted it to. "Expected result"

  • Dawghandler85Dawghandler85 Posts: 208 ✭✭✭ Junior

    @tiger_62082 Agree 100%. Just told my buddy last night we have much tougher games on the schedule this year than ND. IMO if we lose it'll be because we crapped the bed due to it being in South Bend, national stage, etc. Not because ND was the better team. I have it 34-17 Dawgs!

  • KingoftheSouthKingoftheSouth Posts: 570 ✭✭✭✭ Senior

    @amjadawgs said:
    Home field/court is always -3 guys.

    That's a measuring stick but not always the case. UGA going to Tech is not the same thing as say UGA going to Baton Rouge on a Saturday night.

  • amjadawgsamjadawgs Posts: 1,546 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    Now down to ND -4 just as I predicted. Too many wagers made on ND giving the points immediately after Eason's injury. Bookies had to even the playing field by giving more points to UGA. It's basically back to where it started now. Wouldn't expect much change, although possibly down to -3 1/2 by game time. DAWGS win this one - as long as Fromm plays within himself and doesn't try to make "too" much happen.

  • Denmen185Denmen185 Posts: 7,548 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    Likely 2 guards and QB making their first start plus RT making his second. Don't expect too much from the offense or Chaney folks. He isn't going to be worried about tempo or trick plays unless/until we get behind.

  • Denmen185Denmen185 Posts: 7,548 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    BTW After this and Samford our line will be better (no injuries hopefully) and QB more comfortable and a loss in SB doesn't mean give up hope for the East. Not necessary that loss means anything more than not gelling

  • bmauldinbmauldin Posts: 4,807 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    VERY positive sign that it's down around -4!
    They get 3 for being at home. I don't think the home field advantage is going to be as prevalent as some people do.
    That would make it DEAD EVEN.

    Notre Dame gets action just from heritage... in my simple mind, that makes us have the advantage off the odds makers (and my random deductions.)

  • JoelSidneyKellyJoelSidneyKelly Posts: 3,678 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited September 2017

    FWIW: In 2016 ND was -8 vs. Michigan State (lost by 8), -20 vs. Duke (lost by 3), and, in spite of a 2-4 record, -3.5 vs. Stanford (lost by 7). Am I wrong, or does it seem like folks like to bet with optimism on ND in the first half of the season?

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