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Comments
I edited the post about Markakis's age 5 minutes before you posted, you must have been typing your post. Nick has far better OBP and more doubles than Pollack, and not just last season. I would sign Markakis over Pollack any day of the week. Markakis has averaged 39 doubles and a .358 OBP the past 4 seasons while playing almost every game. Pollock missed most of the 2016 season and he averaged just 28 doubles in his last 4 full seasons ( minus the 2016 season). His OBP has averaged just .324 since 2015.
why couldn't Camargo play there? He's very athletic. It's a lot easier position than the infield and he has a very strong throwing arm.
Either Camargo or Riley.
Alas, all aces are not created equal.
I'm referring to true aces, not 1st in a rotation. Not many teams have a true ace.
You are right about that.
He doesn't have enough foot speed for outfield.
If we want to go back to 2015, pollock was genuinely an MVP candidate and one of the best players in the game with almost 7 WAR for what it’s worth. He was insanely good that year, then barely played in 2016 after injury. His doubles numbers on that 3 year average will be low due to him playing 2.25 seasons worth of games as opposed to nicks almost full 3.
It’s his rate stats that are the big difference. Excluding 2016 again, his slugging percentage over that 4 year span is about 100 points higher, or basically 25% better than nicks. Nick averages less than 10 hr a year while pollock averages 18 a year, with less games played.
I’ll take an extra 8 homers a year over an extra 10 doubles a year.
I'm referring to true aces, not 1st in a rotation. Not many teams have a true ace.> @Kirbstomper said:
I want OBP over any other offensive stat. If you put together a team that gets on base at a high rate and hits for extra bases, it will score a lot of runs. Also, showing up for work matters, Markakis has been extremely durable, you can't help the team from the bench.
I couldn't disagree more. He'd leave Markakis in the dust in a foot race. He has above average speed - not an Acuna or an Albies, but few are. I think his speed is more than adequate for the OF.
No, Camargo is slow. Check this out. He is roughly the same speed as nick, who is slow to begin with.
https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/sprint_speed_leaderboard?year=2018&position=&team=ATL&min=10
The thing about this is, how do you weight all the things? Sure OBP is valuable, but so is hitting for power right? . But how valuable is a walk? What about a double? How about a homer? These things are hard for you and me to quantify. But that’s why we have statisticians all over the game.
They came up with a forumala to mix all these things together, weighing for singles/doubles etc. the weighting factors were found empirically, so as to say they looked at runs created by a single/double etc. in situations throughout the past. Like all the mlb baseball games played in the last however many years. There were no opinions involved, opinions are bad for objectivity.
Empirically, they created this formula and called it wrc. They then scaled it to where 100 would be average, and every point above 100 would be 1% more runs created over a season than 100. They called this scaled stat WRC+.
I don’t site this stat because it fits my narrative, I site it because it’s literally the best thing we have to quantify how valuable a guy is offensively on a rate basis.
Baseball is a game of 4 bases and 27 outs in 9 increments of 3. That is breaking offensive baseball down into a board game. I want players on base and the next guy up to advance them around the bases, it's a simple game till you get to actually having the skills to accomplish these simple things.
With Markakis you get a guy who is going to be in the lineup almost every game. He is going to get on base, which advances anybody already on base either into scoring position or brings them home. He is going to hit doubles at a good clip, which brings home base runners and puts himself in position to score on a single.
Pollock misses a lot of work and he doesn't get on base or advance those already on base at as high a rate.
I'd love Nick, but at the right price and especially term. You have to assume at his age he will decline and it could be quickly.
He has been very durable and has shown no signs of decline. I'd trust him more over a 2 or 3 year contract than Pollock who has been injured and spotty. Generically no doubt 35 is risky. He has an extremely sturdy build and very sound mechanics though.