NFL Draft - Star Rating - Recruit Identification

jay_kubzz

@FirePlugDawg said:

@Acrum21 said:
Looking at this makes you realize what we have in Pittman, Dell, Schuman and Coley. They bring in some unbelievable talent.

Yes, and folks ought to be hopeful about the prospects of Zion Logue and Tymon Mitchell (3 Stars). DL were just behind DBs for the 3 draft rounds for the D players. What the coaches see is critical, more so than a Star rating. (Also why Owen Condon may be hot stuff yet. Low rating OTs were prominent on the 3 rounds too.)

Just look at Jordan davis

Dawgy_Fresh

@levander said:
You guys arguing there are more 3*’s aren’t listening to what FirePlug is saying.

What you guys are afraid of is he’s proved that 3*’s are actually on average better than 4*’s and 5*’s. But he’s not even trying to say that.

He’s looking at it more broadly. One question he’s asking is why is so much more elite talent not recognized at certain positions?

His main example is DB’s,

One possible reason I can think of is DB is a harder position to learn than most. There’s more of a transition for that position from the high school game to the college game.

Another position that’s harder to learn is QB. So you could look at the percentage of QB’s with various ratings drafted in the first 3 rounds, but was skews the situation with QB’s is sooo much attention is placed on it. Everyone and their brother knows a little about what it takes to make a good QB.

RB is an easier to learn position. A lot of RB’s don’t need nearly as much transition. But again, like QB’s. Well, not as much as QB’s. But a lot of attention is placed on RB’s.

There are so many variables as to why last years draft would lean more towards 3*s. Looking at one yr is such a small sample size.

-Was the ‘15(RS soph and juniors),’14 (senior)’13 (RS senior) blue chip class low on certain position groups kinda like the ‘19 class is a bad yr for elite QBs.

-could’ve been NFL had more need for DBs

-it’s a view at one yr, maybe it was a bad yr for the recruiting industry on judging DB talent.

-could’ve been the best DBs at the time weren’t into the camp circuit

I could go on

But

The argument of “there are a lot of 3*s or less” is still going to hold true.

Blue chip players regardless of position are going to have a higher success percentage in college.