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Covid-19
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Is the sensational American media causing Italy and China to take drastic measures? Boy, I doubt that.
I have a 6 day trip to NYC planned for next month with my son and pregnant wife for his spring break and then a 5 day trip to Maine planned in May with my wife for our anniversary
We are also closing on selling out current house and purchasing a new house at the end of this month and we locked in an incredible interest, historically speaking (3.125%)
so pros and cons for me. not happy about the high probability of canceling my upcoming vacations but love the amount of money I will save in interest of the next few decades. we were trying to get this trips in early in her pregnancy as they will have to be pushed back once the new baby comes. and rates have dropped even more since we locked in our rate, but still happy enough with it
So, presented the following two options:
A) Treat this as an actual threat, because people are getting sick and dying overseas and now domestically, and take measures to prevent the spread
B) Treat this as if nothing is wrong and risk the deaths of thousands of more people just to prevent a month or two of economic regression
You're choosing B?
It's going to spread. It will be mild for most, severe for a few. The prevention tactics, and possibly the warmer weather may help. That is all.
Hope at least the vacation to Maine still works out. Doesn’t seem like a bad place to be at a time like this
I'm choosing to not let this effect my life. I am choosing not to panic over something that is so far down on the global threat list of diseases that it's almost comical. I choose to go about my day and take normal seasonal illness precautions.
I think we can still treat something as a threat without shutting everything down. Maybe I'm wrong and all of this is preventing hundreds of millions of infections and millions of deaths. Thankfully I'm not the one that has to make those decisions but it seems silly to shut down schools and talk of cancelling sporting events when 120K have been infected globally over 2.5 months.
Especially in the US when there are like 500 confirmed cases. Surely there has to be a middle ground between mass panic and completely ignoring everything.
I don't know much, but I know that I woke up today. I am grateful for today.
If you’d actually bothered to read the sources I posted, you would know that deaths and infections aren’t the only concern here. Our healthcare infrastructure is built to barely carry us through flu season.
Bottom line is, we don’t have enough beds, nurses, doctors, or even test kits at this point. I very much hope that this turns out to be nothing, but that’s likely wishful thinking. If you’ve kept up with how infectious this thing is (twice as much as the flu) and how quickly it’s spread in other countries, you’d know too.
Here’s a scientific study that shows that social distancing (self-quarantines) works, based on data from the 1918 influenza pandemic. I know you won’t read it, but it’s more for those non-ostriches out there:
Here’s an excerpt from the article’s conclusion, to increase chances it gets through your thick skull:
“Nonpharmaceutical interventions were grouped into 3 major categories: school closure; cancellation of public gatherings; and isolation and quarantine.
These findings demonstrate a strong association between early, sustained, and layered application of nonpharmaceutical interventions and mitigating the consequences of the 1918-1919 influenza pandemic in the United States. In planning for future severe influenza pandemics, nonpharmaceutical interventions should be considered for inclusion as companion measures to developing effective vaccines and medications for prophylaxis and treatment.”
Side note to go with the conclusion: this is a novel virus, meaning it’s never been seen in humans before therefore no one has any resistance (like some may have with a flu strain they’ve had previously)
This also means that there is currently no vaccine. The virus has already mutated at least once, and could do so again and again, making vaccines less effective and potentially making the mutated virus more deadly. Something to think about for those who are capable
It's being blown way of proportion but it's very very serious.
The downside risk for the US might be two million deaths from the virus + problems with an very overburdened medical system + economic and social and perhaps political consequences.
It's likely to be very disruptive.
This is a good article on the impact the illness is having on Italian culture.
I've been reading the news, including the science and medical news, while wearing my MD glasses.
I'm concerned about the virus. I'm also concerned about the hysteria. Turning the virus into a political weapon is particularly loathsome in my view.
Hopefully we've learned something from what's happened in China and elsewhere. We in the US are at the beginning of the bubble. China is apparently on the other side and going back to work.
Of course there's a good bit we don't know.
I'm spending some quality time praying for all of us.
Go, Dawgs!
C.
Treat it Normally and seriously.....without the sensationalized drama that makes it seem like Ebola.
Its not.
Call this what you will, the WHO just declared this a pandemic.
Right, it's far far worse than Ebola in terms of ability to spread and ability to infect larger populations.
The Ebola outbreak went on for three years but it was confined to a few specific regions in Africa and didn't make any headway in Europe or the U.S.
Yo why are you bringing facts, knowledge, and well-formulated opinions up in here? I'll just go about my life and if people get sick and die, oh freaking well I guess.
/s in case you didn't know
Recently cancelled a trip to Spain - was scheduled for next week. I'm not a conspiracy theorist, but we were going for Las Fallas (major festival) and the thought of intentionally flying into an area known to have this disease during the largest public festival of the year - just seems like an unnecessary risk. That said, my wife and I are young and relatively healthy and not at risk for death; however, what if I go visit my parents the following weekend? What if I interact with a friend's kid? What if we get quarantined in a hotel for 3 weeks? Just not worth it IMO.
Side note: They cancelled Las Fallas today. So good move on my part.