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History shows this happens when a team comes close to making the playoffs

volatilisvolatilis Posts: 3,239 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

After the showing, or lack of, at the Sugar bowl, I thought it might would be interesting to see how other teams fared that were in contention to make the playoffs only to fall short. Since the start of the CFP, there have been 8 teams that were in the top 4 beginning the last week of the regular season or the Conference Championship weekend and dropped out because of a loss. Those 8 teams have a record of 1-7 playing in their 'consolation' bowl games. The only winner? Wisconsin in the 2017 season. They played Miami which happened to be 1 of the 8 teams that fell short. So, in that game, somebody had to win. Even in the BCS era, I remember Alabama in 2013 losing to Auburn in the Kick Six game and then losing to Oklahoma (Auburn played in the BCS game against FSU instead of Alabama) and then in 2008 an undefeated Alabama losing to Florida in the SEC CG and then losing to Utah. Seems like it's very hard for coaches to get their players up after coming so close. I was going to list the teams, but didn't want this post to become too lengthy.

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    WCDawgWCDawg Posts: 17,293 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    Interesting find.

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    volatilisvolatilis Posts: 3,239 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited March 2019

    There are some exceptions, pre-CFP era. 2012 when Georgia lost to Alabama in the SEC CG, the Dawgs had little trouble beating Nebraska in the Capital One Bowl. We all know Georgia would have been playing Notre Dame for the title.

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    Acrum21Acrum21 Posts: 2,439 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    This is good stuff

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    mqg96mqg96 Posts: 750 ✭✭✭✭ Senior

    In 2013 we had a lot of injuries and went from 11-1/12-2 to 8-4/8-5, of course we'd be one of the few exceptions. We also lost a lot of seniors from that 2012 team defensively which affected us with a much tougher schedule in 2013.

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    DCochranDCochran Posts: 809 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    Pretty interesting stat. Not only is the lack of motivation for a consolation prize the only problem now, but also I think that teams that don't have as much on the line, are going to see more and more NFL bound players sit games out to avoid injury or having one last 'bad game' in front of the cameras for NFL scouts to see. Like Walker and Baker did this season in the Sugar bowl. You gotta figure, if it was a playoff game with a NC game possibly to gain, they wouldn't have done that. Now that is becoming a trend, it's gonna make it even harder for teams to rebound and win in some bowl game. Michigan had a ton of players sit out against the Gators and look what happened to them.

    All in all, this could be more wood on the fire of the argument about expanding the playoffs, i'd think anyway.

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    GBALGBAL Posts: 742 ✭✭✭✭ Senior

    Interesting stat.... wonder what those 8 followed up with the following year?

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    volatilisvolatilis Posts: 3,239 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate


    I was afraid someone would ask that. Not very pretty at all.

    2014 - Miss St was #4 going into the last game . Not sure if they would have made the CFP, but Ole Miss took care of any doubts. They may have been in the same boat as TCU, since neither had another game to play because of Big 12 not having Conf CG and Alabama was going to be the West rep, whether Miss St beat Ole Miss or not. Miss St then got kicked by Ga Tech,49-34. Following year they went 9-4

    2015 - Iowa was #4 heading into the Big 10 CCG. Lost to Mich St and then got trounced by Stanford, 45-16. Following year they went 8-5

    2016 - Michigan was #3 heading into their last game, Ohio St. Got beat 30-27 and then lost to FSU 33-32. Following year they went 8-5

    2017 - Auburn was #2 until they lost to the Dawgs and then lost to UCF 34-27. Following year they went 8-5. Miami was #2 until the last game, Pitt. Lost to them 24-14. Still got to play in the ACC CG, but got killed by Clemson 38-3. Lost their bowl game to Wisconsin 34-24. Following year they went 7-6. And then Wisconsin, our only bowl winner, was #4 heading into the Big 10 CG. And of course we know they lost and put Bama in!! Following year they went 8-5.

    2018 - We know about Georgia. Michigan was the other one. They were #4 going into the Ohio St game. Lost 62-39 and of course lost to the Gators.

    So 9-4,8-5,8-5,8-5,7-6 and 8-5. Time for the Dawgs to break that **** trend.

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    tfk_fanboytfk_fanboy Posts: 2,821 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited March 2019

    so this season decides if UGA is just another up and down nationally relevant team or if they are starting an elite run that will contend yearly for national titles

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    volatilisvolatilis Posts: 3,239 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    On the brighter side, the years following the 2 Alabama bowl losses, they won the title after losing to Utah and at least made it to the playoffs after losing to Oklahoma. I say we will follow Alabama's lead.

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    mqg96mqg96 Posts: 750 ✭✭✭✭ Senior

    @volatilis Oh ****, I hope that doesn't continue with 2019 Georgia, and the 9 digit years for UGA have always been horrible. People say that we've always been contenders in years ending with 2 or 7 since 1982, well, 1979, 1989, 1999, and 2009 ****.

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    volatilisvolatilis Posts: 3,239 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    @mqg96 Time to break all those trends!!! We have way too much talent to have a bad season.

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