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COVID-19 Check-in
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Comments
If the deaths continue to stay low I will take that as a positive sign treatments are improving and maybe it’s not as deadly as it was during colder weather. It would be a pleasant surprise from the norm so far.
but if deaths continue to rise in the next couple weeks, will that change your mind at all?
Yes I did. The study these people did was summarized as follows
In this issue of Pediatrics, Posfay-Barbe and colleagues report on the dynamics of COVID-19 within families of children with reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RTPCR)-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in Geneva, Switzerland. 6 From March 10 – April 10, 2020, all children <16 years of age diagnosed at Geneva University Hospital (N=40) underwent contact tracing to identify infected household contacts (HHC). Of 39 evaluable households, in only three (8%) was a child the suspected index case, with symptom onset preceding illness in adult HHCs. In all other households, the child developed symptoms after or concurrent with adult HHCs, suggesting that the child was not the source of infection, and that children most frequently acquire COVID-19 from adults, rather than transmitting it to them.
Again I don't find this at all surprising except that somehow 3 children (of 39) were deemed the index case. In general since the first cases were identified I assume that most parents shield their children from high risk activities and hence the parents are more likely than the children to be the index case in a household.
BTW Just saw mayor Bottoms on TV. She and her husband tested negative at the time that her asymptomatic child tested positive but didn't have the results back before they retested positive!
You said “if deaths CONTINUE to rise.”
Deaths have been declining since April.
But to answer your question - yes, but there’s going to be a really sudden uptick if the death rate is going to reach the projections put forth here and other places.
They rose this week over last week. But we don’t have to get tangled up in semantics do we? You’re smart enough to know what I meant
There was an understanding that there would be an increase in numbers after opening. Im more focused on percentages, because that’s been the base used from the beginning. 3.4% mortality, etc.
Now that the percentages aren’t working in their favor, the bar has been moved to only compare straight numbers. One number doesn’t tell us anything useful from a sociological perspective.
I actually don't think any of us are smart enough to know what others meant. I don't think any of us are smart enough to even know what we meant to say.
You know what I mean?
Florida update today:
Tests - 39,429 below average
Cases - 8,935 with a record positive rate of 22.7% . Even so the 7 day average dropped for the first time in 37 days!
Hospitalization - 409 - first time over 400 and 8th straight day the 7 day average has set a new record (288).
Deaths - 120, first time over 100! 7 day average now 56.
I was under the understanding that there would be no math.
I'm showing deaths went down 9.3% last week over the week prior. And cases went up 45.1% week over week.
If you Google "covid cases USA" it gives you a pretty cool chart you can play with for cases/deaths, country, region, and time frame.
Has anyone heard from @PhineasGage lately? Hope he's doing OK.
this is what I was referencing. Should’ve double checked my work
I nominate this for 2020 Post of the Year! LOL, good one!!!
@texdawg That right there, is one of THE FUNNIEST things that I have ever read on here!!!! I LAUGHED, AND LAUGHED, AND LAUGHED!!!! My wife came running in, as she thought that I had gone completely crazy!!!! 🤣 🤣 🤣 🤣 🤣
@texdawg AMEN sir.
As soon as I read "CaliforniaDawg brought the cover 19 virus over on one of his electric yachts..." I almost fell out of my chair. I wonder if he has a Volvo electric yacht!