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- 3/17/19 UPDATE -- We've updated the permissions for our "Football" and "Commit to the G" recruiting message boards. We aim to be the best free board out there and that has not changed. We do now ask that all of you good people register as a member of our forum in order to see the sugar that is falling from our skies, so to speak.
Comments
This format completely confuses me, we have a 10 % chance at #1 but 2% at number 5? I'm lost
It does look odd, but I believe that is the natural side effect of capping how far each team can fall. See the Knicks at 47.9% in that column? All that means is if the Knicks don't get one of the first four picks, they're guaranteed to get the 5th, and everyone behind them falls in line. It makes sense if you think about it.
AnotherDawg. It still seems really messed up.
The Hawks have the 5th worst record and Dallas has the 7th worst. Without a lottery we'd have the 5th and 7th picks. As it stands we have a 43.3% chance of improving our pick to between 1st and 4th, we have a 56.7% of ending up between 6 and 9.
We have a 28.9% chance of losing The Dallas pick altogether and a 71.1% of ending up from 8 to 14, so there is literally NO CHANCE at improving the Dallas pick and a 100% chance it will be worse than 7th.
This is at least as complicated as placing a person on the moon. My head is spinning. I guess it will prove true that it is better to be lucky than good.
Since the drawing is for the winner of the Tankathon, I would say in this case it is better to be lucky than bad.😀