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I’ve got family in SC on the coast so I’d prefer it not hit there as they haven’t had much warning.
Unfortunately, it seems that most of the models are pointing to SC and NC for impact now more than Florida.....
if It skirts the coast of Florida just like Matthew it won’t matter , still wide spread flooding damage from storm surge . Houses falling into the ocean on a1a from vilano beach st aug north to Jax beach . Ortega area in Jax on the river will be flooded, many parts of st aug flooded as well.
This isn’t true at all. We’ve had a number of disastrous hurricanes the past few years. Harvey, Michael, Florence cost billions and billions in damages.
It may be confirmation bias but it certainly feels like hurricanes have gotten worse over the past couple decades. Sandy did 70 billion in damages and was only 7 years ago
No they’ve def gotten worse. More frequent and higher category
I don’t know that I believe they’ve gotten worse. Hazel, Mitch and the Galveston storm were powerful hurricanes too. I think the reason there’s more damage money wise is because there’s more and more people building beach front homes and businesses etc. Being a fairly short drive from the SC/NC coast and go a few times a year the population is definitely growing in places. Also the media does over sensationalize things, not down playing the storms but the media starts scaring people way before it’s time to be scared.
We're just getting into the busiest period of hurricane season. I think officially it starts much earlier, but most of the monsters come in Sep. I think Katrina hit New Orleans and the Mississippi coast on Sep. 5th.
Actually, US landfalling hurricanes have slightly decreased over the last century or so. Short duration storms have increased, but I'm not convinced that isn't simply better measurement. Storms lasting less than two days were likely missed in the pre-sattelite era.
https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/historical-atlantic-hurricane-and-tropical-storm-records/
I work on Hilton Head Island, in SC. The eye of Matthew stayed about 20 mi offshore as a Cat 2 and still did quite a bit of damage. Hoping that track continues to shift eastward.
And, yes, the media sensationalizes a lot of this. This will be the fourth year in a row we’ve had to evacuate, if it comes to that.
@Denmen185 My brother-in-law lives near Orlando. He says they will ride it out if it comes. In the last one he got stuck in traffic trying to evacuate. He was in his car to the north when the storm made landfall. Still in his car as the storm moved north. He ended up fine, but he says, "Never again."
I bet another kind of "evacuation" was at play. Effn you know what I mean....
Sandy had a beneficial impact of sorts. So many homes and businesses were destroyed and rebuilt with better insulation and updated A/C that the utility companies had to offer discounts (in those states having such programs) to try to take up the slack of unused capacity. And this occurred on top of the LED switch to TVs and lighting. All (other than the LED) courtesy of the insurance coverage. Hug an agent, okay? (But pay those premiums!)
Not really. It runs from June to November now. It is the peak time, though, Hope this one is an isolated one.
What most people don’t take into account is only a small percentage of storms threaten landfall in highly populated areas like US. We have a couple of dozen storms every year but folks only talk about and remember the bad ones.
I don't think global warming is a joke, but we can sure joke ABOUT it. Dark humor seems hard wired into us 2 legged mammalian folk.
Love that area, had many good memories of family vacation at Melrose / Dafuskie Island before they went under. I’ve seen pictures of the resort and how run down and overgrown everything is . Sad
I’ve actually never taken the ferry over. HHI and Bluffton have grown quite a lot, you’d be surprised.
Dafuskie’s always interesting when an evacuation is ordered. Because you have to take a ferry to get to it, you always have this situation where a few holdouts are basically stranded because they don’t run the ferry during the storm.
As others have stated.....I hope everyone in the affected areas stay safe! I’ll be watching the game today on the road to FT Benning and then will be leading some response efforts in any areas that get hit in GA and possibly Florida if they request our assistance.
Hopefully the latest model prediction is right and Dorian turns up the coastline and back out into the Atlantic. This one is going to stay strong as it gets closer and a direct hit to Florida or SE GA would be devastating.
Y’all stay safe and GO DAWGS!
It's looking better now. Been working on my generator today. Still not running. Probably wont need until Wed . Hope to get going by then