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Good to see more data. Don't know how old you guys are, but 55 ain't old. Stating the headline a different way, 20% of deaths happen to folks under the age of 64. Again, not old. Herschel is 58.
I guess everything is bigger in Texas including infection rates.
Florida hasn't reported yet! I think they just tipped to exponential growth. 8,900+ cases today.
My model indicates US deaths top 1,000 again on July 2nd although this is likely to occur June 30th due to the "Tuesday" effect (weekend catch-up).
Wear a mask , secure the crib . It’s that simple!
SC hovering now around 1200 daily cases. Our percent positive seems really high. Our hospitalization number for Covid-19 is at 900, but several people are indicating that the rate of severe cases in those hospitalization numbers are getting lower and lower. Not sure if that is better treatment, younger patients, or some combination of both (or something else, I guess). A very high percentage of cases are still just in 4 counties. People in Charleston, Columbia, Greenville, and Myrtle Beach really need to chill out, stay farther away from each other, and wear a mask. Those 4 places are going to cost everyone else a fall prep sports season.
On the bright side - the number of deaths are still pretty level.
7 day average deaths stable at 10, Cases hit a new high at 1,169 but only marginally above the 1,049 of 3 days ago. Steady but certainly NOT exponential growth at this point.
Where I am (Florida) is somewhat different. 3 days ago 7 day average was 3,746; now 5,535. I was planning a casino trip to Tampa this weekend but with 1,112 cases reported today (Hillsborough County) felt it was better to wait. Overall Florida reported 9,585 cases. Stay safe!
This is purely anecdotal, so take it for what it's worth. From the start of the pandemic up until last Saturday, I knew one person in my entire circle of friends and acquaintances who had tested positive for CV (within two degrees of separation, that means one single person among thousands of people). Over the past week, seven people I know have tested positive, mostly young people at summer camps or in youth sports, including one in my own family.
I take some comfort in the low mortality rate, and I believe herd immunity is the only long term hope (I'm old enough to remember "measles parties"), but there's no doubt this thing is bouncing back right now, and highly contagious.
Hate to make light of the virus but hell I live in Florida and need something small to maintain my sanity. This article is very good read from a reputable source.
The main thing I got from it was the “They were extremely agitated, and many had neurological problems – mainly confusion and delirium,” quote. Could this explain the problem in Florida (UF), SC (jr), Tenn (UT), Alabama (UA and AU) and even Georgia (Tech). It could be that UGA rivals were already susceptible to these issues. 🤣
In all seriousness, if the article is correct it would explain why so many are asymptomatic. Everyone is looking for flu-like symptoms but this suggests that the virus attacks the weakest organ and may just show up as a s troke, heart attack etc. which would not be a respiratory issue and hence not induce coughing or sneezing.
Maybe this explains why my liver hurts.
First time in months going through this thread. I will say it is refreshing to have a dialogue that is data or science centric. Facts as opposed to politicized untruths are the starting point for appropriately dealing with the virus. Countries that are doing well are data, testing, tracking, and preventive measure driven. These steps are the best way to have the most “normal” possible humanitarian and economic outcomes until better treatments or vaccines occur.
Dr. Kent Sepkowitz summed up why the reopening so fast has been such a problem in ways that I haven’t been able to say as well, "The Covid-19 infection rate in the US is increasing at warp speed, wasting the weeks of tedious quarantine. It’s like an athlete, after months of grueling rehab from an injury, returning too soon and ending up back at square one after re-injuring the same bone or joint."
If Ron Courson did this to the UGA athletes repeatedly, we would all be howling in frustration and asking for him to be fired. Just saying…
Putting things into perspective, in May Florida had just over 22k cases. In the last 3 days cases were just over 23k! Someone referred to our Governor as Ron DeSasterous yesterday.
I’m curious to know what kind of effect the shelter-in-place periods have had on the country’s mental health system long term. Speaking from experience, with a husband in banking working around the clock and on weekends for 8 weeks handling the PPP loans it was extremely tough having a baby and being completely isolated from friends and family.
I would argue that it wasn't the SHOULD we "reopen" it was the HOW we reopened.
If the question was SHOULD, then the answer now would be to lock erbody back up for a few months...
We gotta live, just live SMARTER.
Context.
You can have a 55yo that looks 85. And then you can have Herschel.
It's just raw stats. The majority of people that fell ill and died were over 55. But that doesn't necessarily mean that everyone over 55 is in danger.
I'm pretty sure the country's mental health is out of control.
I heard someone compare it to the last few days of school. Everyone took their tests, and there's nothing to do. And now playing Alice Cooper and telling the hall monitor to F off.
I saw people blaming the governor. But I am sure they had guidelines for bars that were broken and he definitely didn't force people to go to bars, large gatherings, and protests. There should be some personal accountability.
And maybe the governor shouldn’t have so proudly taken a victory lap after lap three
Again lets always find a way to blame someone else for not taking personal accountability. There will always be a party of blame. Please give me the name of one politician that has never taken a victory lap. Nothing wrong with re-opening , cant stay sheltered forever and you will never convince me of that and not saying either of us is wrong. But again please show the link where the Governor instructed people to go into large crowds in a bar and go to protests etc. I really don't see that in the re-opening guidelines. I am not one to need to be told by some government official exactly what I need to do. I know if I want to be perfectly safe I don't go into a large crowd especially without a mask.