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Comments
PT. No doubt the odds get better with every Mavs win and every Hawks loss, perverse as that reality is competition wise.
@WCDawg
This is pretty dumb when you consider the Hawks control their own destiny tanking wise, unless the ping pong balls don't bounce right. Hawks can simply throw every game and stay ahead of the mavs. It's top five protected not top six.
Not dumb. You need the players to buy in and that’s not guaranteed. The Falcons damaged their prospects several times in my life with late season wins. I believe they lost #1 overall the year Billy White Shoes scored against (the niners?) on the last play of the year.
Hawks have a tough schedule down the stretch. The easiest games are with Orlando and San Antonio and they have lost 3 times to the Magic very badly and we hardly ever beat the Spurs. They may win 3 or 4 games at best.
LD10, the losses to Orlando have shown how Collins plays soft when an opponent has a big strong and talented low post center. He has to get past that weak spot.
WC you are right. The Magic bugs have put up silly numbers this year against him. Need Can Roundfield to give him some lessons. This is one reasos hawks only may win a couple more games this year.
LD10. Collins' offense is usually off when an opponent has a big talented center, not just his defense. He often plays timed against those teams.
A quick bit of Google research shows Dallas has a 32% chance of landing 1 of the 4 spots chosen by the lottery. The rest of the 14 spots go by position at the end of the regular season. It looks like Dallas will be 7th worst.
The Hawks have a 42% chance at landing a top 4 spot, but we can't end up picking lower than 5th under the new format...yea!!
So the worst we could do is lose the Dallas pick and stay at 5th with our pick, The best we can do is the 1st overall pick ( 12% chance) and the 7th pick from Dallas.
Our most likely outcome statistically speaking is keeping the 5th and 7th spots., but just barely so.
Dallas managed to **** defeat from the jaws of victory in OT tonight.
That leaves them tied for 6th worst record with 11 games left in the regular season. They have 5 more wins than The Hawks, both teams have 11 games left on their schedules. So if The Hawks go 5-6 the rest of the way Dallas would have to go 0-11 to tie us for the 5th spot. If The Hawks go 8-3 Dallas would have to go 3-8 to tie us. If Hawks' management allows Dallas to cheat us out of the 5th spot they deserve team herpes.
Wasn’t the mavs pick top-10 protected? How does that’s work?
The Mavs' 1st rd pick is top 5 protected. They'll finish the regular season with either the 6th or 7th worst record. The lottery will chose the 1 thru 4 picks, the other 10 spots will stay where they finish the regular season, or as close as possible to it. So if The Mavs don't win a top 4 spot, they will stay at either 6 or 7 and the pick will belong to Atlanta. If The Mavs win a top 4 spot, they keep this years' pick and Atlanta gets their 2020 1st rd pick regardless of what spot it is.
It would really surprise me if there was more than about 3 wins left. There's 1 game left that is in theory, 50/50 but I'll say that one other game gets stolen from a team that is better and one game is won from a resting playoff team. Otherwise, that's it.
GeorgiaGirl. If we win 4 or fewer, Dallas can't tank deep enough to take the 5th spot from us...it's math.
I don't mind those 12% odds of getting Zion, not bad! Good info
I was listening to the radio this morning and one of the guys said Zion could instantly increase the value of a franchise by half a billion dollars.