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Why does everyone think that UF stands a chance of beating us?
cliffhanger
Posts: 161 ✭✭✭ Junior
in General
I am not even considering us losing to UF this season. Yes we may have lot of experience, but I think we all agree that the offense will be better. By the time the WLOCP comes around our young defense should be clicking, and our ST may be the best they have ever been. So why when I look at peoples predictions for our season they put UF as a team that may beat us?
Comments
I fear we are underestimating losses from last year's team, particularly Chubb, Michel, and Smith.
Sure UF will have a chance to win. I’m confident that the Dawgs will have a good season but it’s not going to be a cakewalk.
It’s a rivalry game. Unexpected things happen. They’ll be motivated for sure. Not too many times have we put a whooping on them like last year. They’ll be ready for sure.
Toughest game will be in Baton Rouge anyone who thinks the gaytors will beat us is delusional
I'm writing this game off as a W as well. Sure, it's a rivalry game, but UF is in re-build mode, not reload like we are. I'm banking on a 34-17 type win.
Anyone who doesnt believe that we could lose on any given saturday (with a few exceptions) needs to put the kool aid down. Think OSU thought they were going to lose when last year's team left for an easy game in the state of Iowa? Think Custard was worried about losing?
I'm all for confidence, and have preached it here before. But being blindy cocky is asking for trouble.
Blindly cocky and confidant are two different things
Why do people think UF may beat us? Probably because we've seen games the last 15 years where we had the better team but came out the losing team. Teams that immediately come to mind are...2002, 2003, 2005, & 2014.
That was a different era. No more need be said...UF won’t beat us this year but many of these games will be close. Every SEC game will be a closer game than expected excluding Vandy.
Should add that regular season record will be 11-1/12-0.
Sure, we CAN lose, but will we? I don't think so. See? Confidence.
Think it should be noted that the epitome of a rivalry game is that either team can win. That’s what makes it a rivalry game. We will win, but a lot of us will sweat this one out.
UF stands a chance of beating us.
I'm not for sure if you are agreeing with me or not. I thought my post distinguishes between the two. Maybe not.
So I will say it again, I'm all for confidence, but being blindly cocky is asking for trouble.
UGA could lose to anyone.
But let's also be realistic... the chance of losing varies a lot depending on who and where we're playing.
So a few things about Florida.
1) They're late in the season. I believe this favors UGA as we will have inexperienced talent on the field. But after 7 games... that is less of a problem.
2) It's after a bye week. That means 2 weeks of coaching to get the team ready and an extra week to recover from injuries. I like our coaching staff's ability to prepare.
3) Florida's talent is not great (by their standards). Their 2013 and 2014 classes were very good (top 5 and top 10). Those are most of the remaining players moving on. Their other classes that would likely make up the majority of their players were ranked #23, #14, #9 and #18. For a comparison... SC was #19, #26, #16 and #19. They're closer talent wise to SC than to LSU (#8, #5, #8, #13)
4) They have a new coaching staff. Year 2 is usually where you see the full impact of a new coach. Year 1 (especially with a change in the type of offense or defense a team runs) is generally not as successful.
Yes, UGA could lose to UF. But the chances seem less than losing to LSU or AU (both who have more talent) and less than SC (who plays us early in their stadium). None of those teams plays UGA after UGA has a bye.
The chance of a loss to UF feels more like the chances of us losing to Missouri or Georgia Tech.