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COVID-19 Check-in
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Comments
for sure...most deaths are happening in the Bronx, Queens, and Brooklyn in NYC. The zip code in Manhattan where the fiance and I live hasn't been hit that hard.
If you get some downtime (which is comical to even type), look into the differences in every measurable possible (average income, health care, test scores and teacher pay in schools, levels of education, etc.) between Upstate-Columbia-Coast of SC and the rest of SC. It is as drastic as anywhere in the country. The only difference in the metro areas where things are so bad - the only saving grace - is probably population density.
if I want to be depressed I'll just see which ones of my friends and colleagues shared the "plandemic" video instead ;)
"don't leave a hateful comment until you've watched with an open mind"
Data reporting has been "lumpy" (technical term), to say the least. Between weekend and Mother's Day, I assumed the low # reported yesterday would bounce back up; surprisingly - report today out of NY state is 62 deaths (was 41 yesterday). Furthermore, Cuomo's shared that NY appears to be on the back end of the bell curve - at least for this wave - in what appears to be first steps towards re-opening the state:
FYI Florida deaths Cum and by day for last week. This shows why I hesitate to make assumptions/forecasts based on the last 2-3 days.
Yeah - I find 7 day rolling avgs are better to smooth some of the reporting-related anomalies:
Only 30 cases in my county, cumulative. Zero deaths. My wife's grandmother, who tested positive several weeks ago, was able to celebrate another mother's day. She has been getting better and better. Life seems to be getting closer to normal as the economy has been gradually opening up. The coolest spring since the 1940s doesn't hurt my feelings either. Just counting blessings over here.
Catching up.... I'm genuinely curious has to how everything you've read says we have been under reporting COVID deaths. Because everything I've seen says we've likely been over reporting. Things like you go to Doc, get tested positive, have a car wreck and die on your way home, you get called a COVID death.
Now that example is pretty rare, but it would accurately recorded as such.
We had a patient get tested positive, get critically ill, and was on the rebound. She even went on the vent, and was off the vent. She was a very legit COVID case. She took anticoagulants chronically as a home med. While she was hospitalized she developed some bleeding and had to be correctly taken off her anticoagulants for a little bit. Well... she developed a complication off her meds and it lead to her death. Is this a COVID death? It officially went down as one. And I tend to agree, because if she didn't get COVID she doesn't go to the hospital and she doesn't develop a complication leading to the holding of a life saving medication.
The above case hit us hard because she was likely going to be a success case when we weren't seeing many of those at the time. But collecting the data of whether or not you die from COVID isn't as black or white as some may think. Which is why I think most are saying if there's any grey area, call them a COVID death. It's why I think it could be really over reported.
Interesting footnote. I saw an interview with Elon Musk yesterday. He said they have 7000 employees in China and none of them are positive. Good sign I think. I've been on the fence for a while now, but I think I'm leaning on the side of it's time get things back to normal now. We had our "financial crisis" talk this am with my hospital and things are bad. No one is getting laid off yet, but it's coming soon. And this pretty much goes for the rest of the country too. Don't shoot your foot off for hang nail.
A DV for that?
i'm starting to agree with you regarding the opening up.
full open up? probably not wise.
open up places with half capacity, social distancing...probably wiser.
we need to keep those who are most susceptible to dying from this virus to stay at home, if people can continue to work from home should, but I think the worst of it is over (for now) and we need to get back to work. I think we have enough data to do it right.
You said Elon Musk. To some, that is an auto DV.
It is? I can't keep up with all the "villains" out there these days.
I think the under reporting comes from deaths at home not being counted and not all states counting all LTC facility deaths which in many states can be 30-50% or higher. Several studies show that the deaths that have occurred since mid-march are much higher than the last 5 years for the same period compared with the Covid reported deaths. NYC alone has a 5,000 unexplained differential that is being investigated.
I think there's probably a lot of truth to this, but that broad number would also incorporate people who died from interruptions to the healthcare system.
Not seeking care quick enough from a heart attack or ****, letting chronic conditions get out of control, "elective" surgeries being put off (heart surgery can fall under this), etc. I would think a good chunk of that 5000 number could fall under here.