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COVID-19 Check-in 2.0
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Sorry...
Not sure what sub-tweet means, but it must mean what I did...
Was just saying it's hard for people to work when school is closed. Our school has seen a huge inflow of tours and interest from people over the past week who have to have a place for their kid to go so they can work. And it's gonna .make their finances even tighter in a tough time.
I agree that we should be willing to flex according to what is going on around us. But some jobs can't be done from home.
My avatar would pin your avatar in minutes... Also a DV post...
So, @Kasey , that means that soon you need a job that's "childproof" too. Your optons are narrowing.😁
You're living with your in-laws... wow you've just received a wide birth for irritability. Feel for ya bro.
**Comment moved to more appropriate thread.
The explanation for this makes it even worse. Complete lie, imo.
Yeah That’s not how it works at my doctor’s office. I almost get tired of confirming my identify to every person who speaks to me.
The four I focus on are Florida, Georgia, Texas and to a lesser extent California as 3 months months ago I felt that they would be a problem. The last post covering Texas was back July 17th I think.
Texas - their 7 day average doubled by June 18th. Positivity rate May 5,6%, June 10.7%. Deaths were in the mid 20s most of the month but ticked up a tad in the last 10 days of June but still in the 20s. The 7 day average hit 50 on the 8th of July and are now at 95. The lag there seems to be around 20 days.
This relates to Texas and I haven't checked where they stand. Will try to do so by the morning. The difficulty with Deaths is that even if Infection to death is say 35 days, the case to death will vary a lot. If you look at a state where testing is both readily available (NY today) and results timely you might see Day 4 symptoms, Day 5/6 take a test, Day 7 results. For the worst cases Day 11-20 hospital followed by death day 35. The case -> death is 28 days. If that same exact case is in a state with a high infection rate (Sunbelt hot-spots today) and hence backlog of testing it may be Day 4 symptoms, Day 7-10 take a test, Day 12 -20 get results although possibility of hospital before getting results so urgent test with death still Day 35. In this instance Cases -> death would be 15-23 days. The key to estimating the lag is the testing performance at the time of symptoms not today.
Did you really just post breitbart as a source? Do you actually expect people to take you seriously when you do something like that?
Did you really just make another post like this? Do you actually expect people to take you seriously when you do something like that?
I don’t know what other post you’re referring to, but breitbart is not a trustworthy news source. Hate to burst your bubble.
@pocoyo
I looked at the tests and cases trend for the last 2 weeks.
There were wild swings in Positivity Rate (9.1% to 26.9%) which makes it difficult to see any trend. It appears that the testing system there is under such stress that one of three things are happening.
Without reliable testing numbers predicting fatalities is a crap shoot.
Having said that the deaths are steadily rising with the 7 day average now at 133 (169 yesterday). The cases end June/early July were averaging around 6k per day and the 7 day has plateaued at just over 10k. This indicates that deaths could rise to 250/day by mid August. This could be higher if cases are being majorly constrained by lack of testing.
Any reliable info that labs are breaking up their daily testing totals (neg/pos) and releasing at different times? “Negative Results Dumps” are the reason your numbers are off? Is this a theory, or from a source? What part of your formula for calculating deaths includes the pos% test rate?
Multiple negatives from the same person doesn’t make sense, but if that’s how the epidemiologists calculated the benchmark , then it isn’t overstating to include them.
It is also tough to predict deaths when you lump everyone under 55 in to one group. Nearly 50% of the states population is under 35 years old but only represents less than 1% of the total loss of life, at 51 people. They are 1/3 of the positive cases.
Florida:
Population by age range
On line with my son and his wife being handed the swab and told to swab themselves
In the State of Florida, the suicide rate for people under 35 was 9/100k, 815 during 2019.
The covid death rate for the same age group is 0.5 /100k. A total of 51 vs 815.
There are 5.3 million Floridians between the ages of 36-55. Last year, 1059 committed suicide. So far, Covid has taken 344 people in the same age group.
It will be interesting to see if our government’s cavalier attitude toward their well-being during this time will result in an increase.