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COVID-19 Check-in 2.0

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Comments

  • Denmen185Denmen185 Posts: 7,551 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited August 2020

    Probably but they are more dependent on Hospital/LTC/ME reporting so are more erratic due to weekends (low) Tuesday (high) and some only report 1-2 times per week. Example for Florida 8/1 - 179. 8/2 - 62. 8/3 - 73, 8/4 - 245. The total for the period 8/1-3 (3 days) as reported on 8/2-4 was 380 of which 250 were deaths from July and 1 other that was either June or July 1/2. The actual that have an August DOD in the first 3 days were only 129 but will increase as the data is updated. Look at even July 8th that was 119 on August 1st but has increased every day so far and is now 124. Also look at July 31st which is a typical progression. So, as well as the physical lag from infection to case to death for those that don't recover there is a major paperwork lag in addition.


    The ? is numbers that are not reflected in the data shown. If say tomorrow the deaths for July 5th increase by 1 it won't show in the 30 day graph on the dashboard as that drops off after today. So there is about a 30 day lag from case to death but up to 60 days from case to reported death in some instances.

  • Denmen185Denmen185 Posts: 7,551 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    That's not what I said. If I violate the rules give me a warning first offense and suspend or ban me 2nd. I am just saying that everyone shouldn't suffer if 1 person goes over the top and if I throw a wobbly ban me not you.

  • dawgnmsdawgnms Posts: 5,381 mod
  • BankwalkerBankwalker Posts: 5,348 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    Georgia opened May 1

    Protests started May 26-27.

    Spikes started showing up 2nd week of June - EVERYWHERE AT THE SAME TIME

    Minnesota was on a steady decline until end of May, when that came to abrupt halt. Then the cases started increasing along with everyone else.

    Florida and Texas have a combined 50 million people, with 8 major metro areas with over 2 million people - Jacksonville, Orlando, Tampa, Miami, Houston, Dallas, San Antonio, Ft Worth.

    Minnesota has only one major metro area. A full dose of common sense isn’t required to understand the difference in growth rate.

    Data? Come on. You see what you want to see.

  • BumBum Posts: 2,825 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    Collecting accurate data on this particular subject is actually impossible. One would have to identify & contact trace every person who participated in ANY economic re-opening activities and/or protests nationwide...(tens? or hundreds? of millions of people)...AND require subsequent tests. Compile all the data. In real time. And continue for weeks/months thereafter as the tracing grows exponentially.

    Its a completely useless argument to have. I figured I would at least explain this, so you don't waste anymore of your time asking for such data. Which by the way, you don't have either.

  • BankwalkerBankwalker Posts: 5,348 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited August 2020

    It’s not fair to assume a person has read every comment past the one being quoted, but you may still have a tongue lashing coming your way. At least if Hirohito closes the thread again then it won’t be my fault.

  • RxDawgRxDawg Posts: 2,922 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    Bankwalker = UGA

    Yale = Bama

    Mods = 2018 title game refs

  • BankwalkerBankwalker Posts: 5,348 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited August 2020

    I decided to take a look at the states with mask mandates to see if they are working. I only looked at States with more than a month since the order was given, since it wouldn’t be fair to judge within a shorter time frame.

    California June 18

    New cases on 6/18 = 4317; and 7/18 = 9292

    Connecticut April 17

    New cases 4/17 = 925; and 5/17 = 716 A downward trend had already started before the order, except for two days with “catchup results”

    Delaware April 25

    New cases 4/25 = 256 5/25 = 151 6/25 7/26 = 115

    Illinois May 1

    New cases 5/01 = 2200’s 6/01 = 1100’s 8/01 = 1600’s

    Kansas July 2

    July 2 avg = 400’s Today = @500 avg last 7 days

    Maine May 1

    Never had more than 60 new cases a day, either before or after mandate

    Massachusetts May 6

    Instituted AFTER cases had peaked and were declining. Cases per day have doubled since July 1.

    Nevada June 24

    Avg less than 500 cases a day on 6/24 Now averaging over 950 per day.

    New Mexico May 16

    7 day avg on 5/16 = @150 6/16 @ 130’s, today over 300 per day.

    New York April 17

    Cases had already peaked, down by more than 3000 per day when the order was issued.

    N Carolina June 24

    Cases are modestly higher per day than when the order was given 5 weeks ago.

    Oregon July 1

    Cases started increasing beginning of June, and are still increasing one month after mask mandate

    Pennsylvania July 1

    Cases are up 25% per day versus July 1. Cases had been declining until early June.

    Rhode Island May 8

    Cases were already declining before the order was given. Starting to see a very small increase in cases.

    Texas July 3

    Cases are the same today as before the order; however, numbers appear to be declining, as was previously predicted for a different reason by @PerroGrande

    Virginia May 26

    Order given right at the top of the peak, and then declined until early June, and have now risen close to where they were on May 26.

    Washington June 26

    Washington was the early epicenter of spread, and is one of a small number of places lockdowns appear to have limited spread. Cases remained level until early June (sound familiar???) and now the average new cases per day are 50% higher than when the order was given almost 5 weeks ago.

    Would anyone like to discuss the particulars, or will you just anonymously DV based on ideology?

  • YaleDawgYaleDawg Posts: 7,311 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    There are no particulars here. You took two days a month apart and said I WIN with no actual analysis.

  • Casanova_FlatulenceCasanova_Flatulence Posts: 3,126 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
This discussion has been closed.