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- Please no inappropriate usernames (remember that there may be youngsters in the room)
- Personal attacks on other community members are unacceptable, practice the good manners your mama taught you when engaging with fellow Dawg fans
- Use common sense and respect personal differences in the community: sexual and other inappropriate language or imagery, political rants and belittling the opinions of others will get your posts deleted and result in warnings and/ or banning from the forum
- 3/17/19 UPDATE -- We've updated the permissions for our "Football" and "Commit to the G" recruiting message boards. We aim to be the best free board out there and that has not changed. We do now ask that all of you good people register as a member of our forum in order to see the sugar that is falling from our skies, so to speak.
COVID-19 Check-in
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Literally no one would argue with anything you just said. MMQ.
Thanks for the DV. I'll spare you the return favor.
Except you argued against it?
Ok.
18 Deaths in Nine Weeks and Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney will continue the shutdown for another two weeks.
Big news in the data coming out of NYC today...will link to the source below, but it's from the worldometers site which has been the source of reported case/death data for US & EU:
- New York State conducted an antibody testing study [source], showing that 12.3% of the population in the state had COVID-19 antibodies as of May 1, 2020. The survey developed a baseline infection rate by testing 15,103 people at grocery stores and community centers across the state over the preceding two weeks. The study provides a breakdown by county, race (White 7%, Asian 11.1%, multi/none/other 14.4%, Black 17.4%, Latino/Hispanic 25.4%), and age, among other variables. 19.9% of the population of New York City had COVID-19 antibodies. With a population of 8,398,748 people in NYC [source], this percentage would indicate that 1,671,351 people had been infected with SARS-CoV-2 and had recovered as of May 1 in New York City. The number of confirmed cases reported as of May 1 by New York City was 166,883 [source], more than 10 times less.
- As of May 1, New York City reported 13,156 confirmed deaths and 5,126 probable deaths (deaths with COVID-19 on the death certificate but no laboratory test performed), for a total of 18,282 deaths [source]. The CDC on May 11 released its "Preliminary Estimate of Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Outbreak — New York City, March 11–May 2, 2020" [source] in which it calculated an estimate of actual COVID-19 deaths in NYC by analyzing the "excess deaths" (defined as "the number of deaths above expected seasonal baseline levels, regardless of the reported cause of death") and found that, in addition to the confirmed and probable deaths reported by the city, there were an estimated 5,293 more deaths to be attributed. After adjusting for the previous day (May 1), we get 5,148 additional deaths, for a total of actual deaths of 13,156 confirmed + 5,126 probable + 5,148 additional excess deaths calculated by CDC = 23,430 actual COVID-19 deaths as of May 1, 2020 in New York City.
- Actual Cases with an outcome as of May 1 = estimated actual recovered (1,671,351) + estimated actual deaths (23,430) = 1,694,781
Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) = Deaths / Cases = 23,430 / 1,694,781 = 1.4% (1.4% of people infected with SARS-CoV-2 have a fatal outcome, while 98.6% recover).
- Out of 15,230 confirmed deaths in New York City up to May 12, only 690 (4.5%) occurred in patients under the age of 65 who did not have an underlying medical condition (or for which it is unknown whether they had or did not have an underlying condition)
- So far there has been 1 death every 1,166 people under 65 years old (compared to 1 death every 358 people in the general population). And 89% of the times, the person who died had one or more underlying medical conditions.
Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/
Cooking dinner and havin' a cocktail. Life is still good and I hope all are safe and sound. Keep an eye out for the TP Zombies. My wife swore she saw one in our backyard last night. Twas a raccoon....
Raccoons prefer the used TP.
Only in Knoxville and Gainseville.....just like their owners.....
Good info, thanks and also for helping us get back on topic of talking about Covid19.
What hi main advisor Fauci told him. Nothing to worry about people should take cruises etc. My point is everyone wants to blame the President like it was all his idea. It was a collective group in the government including both sides. My point also was this virus was around during the big impeachment fiasco which is what everyone was focused on. Hindsight is great but maybe without the impeachment crap things by February would have been different.
Not just you no. And accusations, so you are saying nobody on here thinks or has said more should have been done in January? I have seen on this board where it was said that all travel should have been stopped from China in January. He got ripped by other members of Congress for blocking what travel he did. So yea there was praise by members but don't say I am wrong in people wanting more done in January. Hindsight is great. My advice to you is, please don't take stuff so personal.
This is in line with the smaller studies done under less than ideal circumstances. Are their any issues with the methodology used with this study? I want to believe the data, it makes more sense with what we've actually seen transpire than some of the worst case scenarios folks are clinging to, but I don't want to get my hopes up if this study was shoddily executed.
Thanks for sharing!
I couldn't find a link to the actual study itself that would have included the details re: how the data was extrapolated, but would expect a department of health to use established statistical methods to generate these estimates.
I'd add that the release says that the tests themselves happened in April, so in the time it took for the data to be collected/compiled/analyzed there are likely even more people in the general population with antibodies than referenced in this study.
We made some headway in the Commonwealth of Virginia, late Yesterday they announced they will track how many people have been infected and have fully recovered separate from those who are currently infected.
Now if we can just get Virginia Health Commissioner Dr. Norman Oliver to quit counting the same person as additional cases for a positive test even within the same week, we will have a better understanding of the spread and will have a more accurate mortality rate so leaders can make more informed decisions for our health and the economy.
Spent the last week in Destin FL.... and it's pretty much entirely back to normal feeling except for the occasional mask you see and many businesses closing earlier than internet says their hours are. The beaches were packed...the beachfront restaurants and bars were completely busy....no one keeping safe distances, and only staff wearing masks (but not even every employee). It was an odd feeling all week and def caused some anxiety when we were required to enter some stores to get things because curbside and such was not an option. the crowds on the beach were concerning as well. Apparently there's only been 160 ish cases of c19 down there, but it didnt make me feel any better.
hopefully all that sunshine UV and humid hot air kept us safe.
back in Athens and havent had a chance to go on a drive around yet. will be running an errands run later this afternoon....hoping to see a more disciplined/respectful culture regarding distances and such. I really want UGA to feel comfortable bringing students back...and for that, we need us locals to give the impression that we can wash our hands....lol