Home General
Hey folks - as a member of the DawgNation community, please remember to abide by simple rules of civil engagement with other members:

- Please no inappropriate usernames (remember that there may be youngsters in the room)

- Personal attacks on other community members are unacceptable, practice the good manners your mama taught you when engaging with fellow Dawg fans

- Use common sense and respect personal differences in the community: sexual and other inappropriate language or imagery, political rants and belittling the opinions of others will get your posts deleted and result in warnings and/ or banning from the forum

- 3/17/19 UPDATE -- We've updated the permissions for our "Football" and "Commit to the G" recruiting message boards. We aim to be the best free board out there and that has not changed. We do now ask that all of you good people register as a member of our forum in order to see the sugar that is falling from our skies, so to speak.

COVID-19 Check-in

1136137139141142159

Comments

  • Casanova_FlatulenceCasanova_Flatulence Posts: 3,126 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited July 2020

    Effective immediately Gavin Newsom is shutting down 19 California counties. This will impact restaurants, wineries, movie theaters & family entertainment facilities, zoos, museums and card rooms. Bars must close all operations. Beaches are closed as well.

  • Denmen185Denmen185 Posts: 7,500 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited July 2020

    The biggest problem is that positivety rates in Az, FL, Tx and Ga are way too high suggesting inadequate testing. The mortality rates in these states will be higher than than the 2.5% as there are so many cases un-diagnosed. Hospitals will be overrun in the next 10-14 days if not already there.

  • Casanova_FlatulenceCasanova_Flatulence Posts: 3,126 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    How does high positivity rates in the states you mention suggest inadequate testing? The fatality rate in Georgia is 3.3%, based on 84,237 confirmed cases. But here's the kicker, when compared to the total population of Georgia only 0.7% have been diagnosed with Covid.

  • BankwalkerBankwalker Posts: 5,348 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate


    It is important to note that ER visits can be misleading. Since Obamacare, newly enrolled people with insurance think they can use an ambulance as a taxi and the ER is just a doctor’s visit. My niece is an ER nurse and has told me about people coming to the ER in an ambulance with a headache but still functioning fine. Not a debilitating headache, either.

    Hospital capacity is media hype. They are always near capacity. The hospital administrators have largely been pointing out that their numbers are similar to a year ago. Hospitals haven’t been full for montha because of the suspension of elective surgeries, which is why so many healthcare workers have been furloughed or given diminished hours.

    Throwing in the “as young as 18” is the type of thing the media has been harping on in order to keep everyone scared to death. Those are outliers, and also occur with influenza. Very, very few 18 year olds have been hospitalized. I would challenge someone to provide a documented case of a healthy 18 year old being hospitalized. Not a single 18-21 year old has died in the state of Georgia.

  • dawgnmsdawgnms Posts: 5,355 mod

    Gov. Reeves here in Ms. is probably going to impose tighter restrictions on the county I live in (Harrison) due to we have the 2nd highest infection rate in the state over the last 10 days......

  • GeorgiaGirlGeorgiaGirl Posts: 1,854 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited July 2020

    If one of those counties includes Napa Valley, guess my aunt and step uncle aren't going after all.

    Edit: Well, it doesn't.

  • KaseyKasey Posts: 29,697 mod

    Sure seems like it for some. If these people who can’t put on a mask fought in WW2 we would’ve lost

  • YaleDawgYaleDawg Posts: 7,267 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    It tells you if enough people are being tested to capture the entire outbreak of an area.

  • Denmen185Denmen185 Posts: 7,500 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited July 2020

    On a random sample based on your data the positivity rate would be 0.7% but in fact was 9.3%. A good measure of testing is to have a positivity rate of less than 5%. This means your protocol is good enough to identify a broad spectrum of severe-mild cases but not "wasteful" . With regard to fatality rates it is important to remember that not all, if any, people will not drop down dead immediately on being diagnosed with the virus. My numbers are based on the number of deaths to date divided by the number of cases up to 20 days prior. The number could be higher if the average lag of the cases is 28 days. The lag will depend on the severity of the cases which in turn is dependent on the the positivity rate as that shows how widespread testing is available (greater availability = greater cases but lower pos rate and lower severity and hence lower mortality rate).

  • BankwalkerBankwalker Posts: 5,348 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    79% of hospitalization in Georgia are in the AA community. Comorbidities are a HUGE percentage of hospitalizations and deaths. How about painting with a more slender brush and target the neighborhoods being affected? Can the CDC really not narrow this down without affecting everyone? My zip code in Dekalb Co doesn’t have very many cases, yet Dekalb is a supposed “hotspot”.

  • BankwalkerBankwalker Posts: 5,348 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited July 2020

    @texdawg I think your percentages are off. It is more like 99.75 instead of 97.5

  • texdawgtexdawg Posts: 11,581 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    We are going to look back on this one day and ask.......what were we thinking?

    I can't get over the idiocracy.

This discussion has been closed.