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School's out for the rest of the year - public school, that is. I expect the independent schools to follow suit very soon.
I hate it, but I will argue that school is second only to mass transit as a vehicle to rapidly spread this sucker. Not sure what that means for the fall. Hope we have some treatments to make this less severe.
We should start seeing results from some clinical trials soon. Late April or early May
Anybody here live in Vegas? Apparently the mayor is willing to lift all social distancing restrictions so they can be used as a control group for how bad the virus can be. That seems just a tad insane.
Well, I'm sure they're hoping what ever happens in Vegas stays in Vegas.
I have been to Vegas - "insane" is basically what they are selling everywhere...
Just glancing at stats from across our wonderful country. This thing is manifesting itself so differently in different places. Our entire state to this point had its worst mortality day with a total of 16 a week or so ago. SIXTEEN. North Carolina peaked at 27. NY is encouraged by daily totals recently that just ticked under 500. That's twice our total fatalities to this point. That's a totally different world within the same country.
Hard for me to comprehend that. Such a different experience, and so much information and so much going on that I cannot relate to here. I think that has to influence my point of view on many things.
Governor of NY proposing interesting numbers this morning due to preliminary antibody testing - showing a mortality rate that may be below 1%, and as low as 0.5%. 14% of the population with antibodies. Now, will this hold? And how much will this change within different populations (population density, socio-economic populations, racial populations, age, etc.) as we get more info? It's a statistician's nightmare (or dream).
I would hold off on drawing any sweeping conclusions from these preliminary antibody tests. We are still determining the efficacy of these tests and even good antibody tests can have a high false positive rate (2-5%). I will say the New York result is more interesting since 14% gets you out of the 2-5% false positive range which is what makes the California tests potentially meaningless. Another caveat is that the death toll is still an under count. We won't know the true fatality rate until after everything is over. What we do know from NYC is that this virus has the potential to cripple our health infrastructure to the point where we have to start choosing who gets a ventilator and storing bodies in refrigerated trucks. I hope its less lethal than we thought, but that doesn't change what we have already witnessed.
I just don't understand how Vietnam has zero deaths related to COVID-19, they only have 268 cases with 224 recoveries so far.....
Authoritarian government with experience dealing with pandemics. They took it seriously from the beginning and implemented aggressive measures to contain it before it was widespread in the country. They were putting tens of thousands of people in quarantine camps which is just something that won't happen here. Some people are questioning the numbers but the CDC has a team there and says the numbers are accurate and have praised them for being transparent.
Maybe we should consider emergency quarantine camps for hot spot areas like NYC.
I'd like to see them try. Snowflakes out in Idaho threatening police officers over playgrounds being closed.
I was being sarcastic.
More on topic, my wife's grandmother who tested positive last week is still holding on strong. She's 93 and has only experienced mild symptoms to this point. As more time passes and more positive studies are being released we are further encouraged that she might pull through.
I hope it works out for your family.
The mayor is referring to the s-trip. 2 things to consider
Still doesn't explain 0 deaths. It may explain why there aren't more cases.
If it's a 0.5-3% death rate then it'd only be like 1-6 deaths total based on reported total cases. At that low a prevalence maybe no high risk people were infected? Or they're engaging in a cover up that fooled the CDC so who knows?
Where are the cases?
May explain the difference in fatalities in Urban versus rural areas here in the US.
I imagine there will be plenty of folks that take the opportunity to get the nicest hotel in vegas and eat like kings for weekend... someones going to do it. shoot, I bet dtown athens gets busier next week when they reopen things in state. vegas has way more entertainment than athens and cabin fever combined with a gambling mindset.....you can bet your butt folks will be going to vegas if they reopen. haha
Antimalaria drugs. In the US they will only give those drugs to those who are very ill. They seem to work better when taken early. I bet they have more cases, but since they never got very sick they were not tested.
Well, the Stones have given us a sound track for the pandemic:
https://youtu.be/RdhENdBYqdo
I believe we will have a vaccine faster than we have ever produced a vaccine for a virus in human history. This is will be an incredible feat by scientists putting in a lot of effort and hours to get it done.
I also believe that we will have a second wave of Covid19 in 2020, just as the Spanish Flu did in 1918 and that wave was more deadly than the first even though folks wore masks and social distanced. In 1918 and 2020, there was/is pressure to open up despite stark warnings from epidemiologists then and now.