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COVID-19 Check-in
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Comments
The UW model, the one I think officials are following mostly, is now down to 60 thousand people dying.
There's no doubt that the early response wasn't good by the US, but the longer we go, the better things may be looking long term despite the failed early response. I mean to run the ourworldindata thing again on Saturday this and next week, but if you go per million, we ain't Italy, if anyone is Italy in the US, NYC and New Orleans are Italy.
(Which is why I don't blame people for getting out of the general NYC area, as long as you don't plan on being social elsewhere)
What was our failed response? Should we have been on lockdown in January? What should we have done differently? Outside of NY, this has been a fairly minor impact.
Leave it to OSU to disregard the rules...again. Only this time, it's life and death not the NCAA.
As to this being minor outside of NY, I don't think the 8k deaths outside of NY is a minor impact with more coming in the next weeks and months ahead.
Everyone was trying to downplay this at first. If they'd of shut down the economy in January they'd of yelled about that too. Trump restricted travel from China back then and pitchforks come out calling him "racist" and "xenophobic". Plenty of armchair QB's getting in their political cheap shots now because the most important thing is winning the next **** election. And it trickles down subliminally into their supporters because whatever media outlet they follow most likely only gives a twisted one-sided view of everything being done and said. It's all pretty frustrating. The age of information turned into the age of misinformation.
Soccer is back in Germany. First major sports league to make a comeback amid the virus.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/08/sports/germany-soccer-coronavirus.html
Our county reported a larger uptick in cases yesterday - 30ish, which I think logically comes from the results returning from open, drive through testing that started maybe a week ago. SC is in an official lockdown/stay home order, which actually doesn't change a whole lot around here. Not a lot open as it is.
If you need a channel guide for news, and you are like me and never watched news shows, this is my suggestion (based in 2-3 weeks of watching...):
Think you may be overconfident about this situation? Watch CNN, they will remind you how bad it is and how we should have been ready for something that happens every 100 years..
Feeling down? Watch Fox News, they will probably tell you how good it used to be/ will be again some day... But will avoid talking about today /yesterday a lot, cause their joker-like permanent smiles don't work the other way...
Feel like blaming somebody? Watch MSNBC, they will tell you who you should blame/hate and who screwed up...
Want a touch of news mixed with millionaire gamblers' opinion on something called "stock?" Watch CNBC/FOXbusiness... Had an uncle who loved roulette that sounded just like these cats.
"Plenty of armchair QB's getting in their political cheap shots now because the most important thing is winning the next **** election. And it trickles down subliminally into their supporters because whatever media outlet they follow most likely only gives a twisted one-sided view of everything being done and said. It's all pretty frustrating. The age of information turned into the age of misinformation."
Do you agree this statement can be applied across the political spectrum?
Shutting down the economy or not back in January is a false dilemma. Could have implemented large scale testing in emerging hot spots, isolated positive cases, and performed contact tracing along with the social distancing guidelines.
Not sure you can just instantly test for something that has never existed on the face of the Earth before. When this first started, and people were talking about early testing, my Dad who is a retired doctor and Public Health specialist said "what are they testing for, they don't even know what it is or how to test for it?".
Yes, I agree Yale, that things could have gone better. Mistakes have nmbeen made. However...
Man, I coach. And if there is one thing I know about, it's second guessing... everything. SO MANY DECISIONS after the fact look really ****. How could I not have anticipated that? Why did I not adjust quicker? Why didn't I take a chance? Why did I take that chance? Did I over-coach that game? Did I help my guys enough, did I trust them too much or not enough?
And I feel like I prepare - a lot. I watch a lot of film, and I prepare for coaching styles as much as personel. I am by no means a great coach, but I have high expectations for my preparedness.
So I find it AMAZING, COMICAL, HILARIOUS, MADDENING, AND FLAT OUT RIDICULOUS how much people (mainly the cats on TV) are second-guessing everything AFTER THE FACT when it comes to this situation...
Basically, it's like I took my guys on the road to play a team I didn't have any film or info on (just some legendary stories of how good this school used to be back in the day), and they ended up being the freakin' Lakers. ANY point scored is a success, but most likely an accident that we shouldn't take credit for. ANY failure must be taken in context, understanding that there was NO POSSIBLE WAY to prepare for this.
I would do 50 things different in the games WE WIN. The losses? Eeesh...
My wish for everyone... Be a coach of ANYTHING at even a slightly competitive level once. It can change your perspective when it comes to guessing and second-guessing leadership in situations with 1000 moving parts at once. It's reason #47 I love sports so much...
The viral genome was released on January 11 which showed we were dealing with a SARS like virus. Multiple tests were made outside of China by January 23 that worked.
My Brother-in-law in Columbus became a Covina-19 victim when my sister tried to cut his hair after she had a glass of wine. My sister is a fourth generation funeral director so she probably should have had him lay down instead of sitting upright.
Biggest nerd fact I heard over the past few days...
SARS - another coronavirus if I am not mistaken - never had a vaccine produced. I think I read that all the funding for the vaccine and other drugs to treat it ran out (once it seemed to have, itself, ran out), and thus none of that was ever developed. I bet the same will not be said for this version of coronavirus. It is a shame that the other research was never finished - I am curious to hear from the medical minds here if that research - had it been finished out - would have benefited us today.
Maybe. The part of the virus the immune system actually recognizes is very similar between SARS-COV and SARS-COV-2
Hard to see anything minor in 14,000+ deaths and still counting in the U.S. much less the thousands worldwide regardless of the response failed or otherwise.
In the continued quest for positive news - good to see that the oft-cited U Washington-based IHME models are now predicting the peak death point for the US 4 days ahead of schedule (now 4/12) and total # of deaths now at ~60,000 deaths. 2nd table brings down the peak deaths/per day to 2,212.
Link: https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
EDIT: Interesting stats from the CDC just now on TV...in 2018, total deaths by cause in the US:
Every one of these data points has a life story and a family who loves & misses them, but given the collective anxiety & stress this pandemic is having on the collective psyche of America, I found this to be somewhat comforting.