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Comments
@GrayDawg great thoughts as always Graydawg. I desperately want people to wear a mask and desperately want that to be apolitical.
I also am not unaware enough to realize this is nearly impossible today and that frustrates me. I have tried to counter this by using Texdawg's quote that might be saying the same thing as me but perhaps in a more relatable way of why would we ever want to jeopardize our freedom that we paid a price through the shutdowns to earn? And you have Rubio saying "just wear a dam^ mask!"
The truth is there is only one person (and his followers in elected positions who dont feel they can disagree with him) making wearing a mask political. And that angers me - a lot. Wearing a mask shouldnt be political.
But it is as you point out. So where does that leave me? Well, i can say its political so ill be quiet or i can rail against the other side using a fraction of what is said about folks with my views by elected officials, supportive media sites and even blatantly by some posters on this forum without consequence.
But being quiet nor being political really fit me. Im going to keep saying just wear a dam^ mask people and hope this request somehow becomes adopted and apolitical. To me, our economy depends on it. As a small business owner, I can take a hit for a while, but if we dont properly address the situation and it comes back and worse this becomes a cycle, I'm screwed. My request to the world about wearing a mask is rooted in my need for my business to survive and not some political talking point or counterpoint.
1092 new cases in Mississippi today smashing the record of 611.
Record number of cases today. Wear your mask people! College football depends on it!
This table is for June Month-to-Date in comparison to the May equivalent.
CPD - Average Cases per day.
TPD - Average Tests per day.
Note: The last line is the US total excluding NY, NJ, Mass, Illini, Penn and Mich (the states in NE/ mid west that I had been tracking initially).
Florida for instance shows a 38% increase in testing but a 219% increase in number of cases which means that the rate of positive tests (spread) has increased by 135%. In the case of Mississippi June testing is down 20% yet cases have still increased 29%.
It would be much worse if the last week was compared to the May average. For instance the 10 state sub-total shows the June average sits at 14,740 per day but the 7-day average is 22,249.
Interesting when you look at the numbers. We are pretty much wide open especially down here on the coast. Short distance from New Orleans and Mobile so caught in the middle. Casino's are slowly making masks mandatory allowing 50% capacity which is really alot of people considering they go by square footage and the casino floors are quite large.
Masks not being worn by the majority from what I can see when we make our neccessary runs out.
We pretty much stay home, no casino or dining out at all right now and I work a reduced schedule 2 on 3 off/3 on 2 off at full salary which is nice, like being semi retired. The Navy whom I work for has mandated for active duty the shelter in place restrictions other than regular duty, basically take out only, no casinos, no gym, no barber/beauty shop, no beaches, etc. Call it HPCON C- because of the rise in cases and will be like this in the foreseeable future according to the Command.
Shout out to @Denmen185 for taking the time to track& monitor this case data. I’m a data guy so really appreciate this type of approach to this discussion.
The one thing I’ll offer is that the # of cases - while certainly a leading indicator - does not necessarily tell the whole story. Layering age (and relative risk) as well as severity of cases is a more helpful directionally speaking as to whether the broader impact to society/economy is improving or getting worse.
Just two examples from my timeline this AM:
EDIT: apologies - not able to post either link for some reason (?))
I certainly think that cases are way understated but would be interested to see why CDC says 10x. In NY study they had the same figure (10x) but I feel that was flawed. Since then (April) testing has increased considerably which should reduce the factor and the testing sample is definitely not "random" i.e. not a total cross-section of the entire population. So the 10x may be impacted on the criteria used in who was tested.
On the age distribution I started tracking Florida cases 55+ but their dashboard has not been available since 6/23 (using the dashboard as a surfboard? 🤣).
Although the 55+ has fallen from 35% YTD to around 20% (good) the total cases in that age range has increased from about 250 per day to 700 (very bad) as the cases have increased from 725 per day to 4,013 per day last week!
I'm just glad we are able to have reasonable discussion on the topic. Much appreciation to everyone for the data and commentary shared in this thread. I believe we will pull through, but maybe not as quickly as I'd hoped.
https://www.acsh.org/news/2020/06/23/coronavirus-covid-deaths-us-age-race-14863 This has some data that shows Covid impact in age groups as of June 17 in the US 92% of Covid related deaths were people 55 and older.
Good to see more data. Don't know how old you guys are, but 55 ain't old. Stating the headline a different way, 20% of deaths happen to folks under the age of 64. Again, not old. Herschel is 58.
I guess everything is bigger in Texas including infection rates.
Florida hasn't reported yet! I think they just tipped to exponential growth. 8,900+ cases today.
My model indicates US deaths top 1,000 again on July 2nd although this is likely to occur June 30th due to the "Tuesday" effect (weekend catch-up).
Wear a mask , secure the crib . It’s that simple!
SC hovering now around 1200 daily cases. Our percent positive seems really high. Our hospitalization number for Covid-19 is at 900, but several people are indicating that the rate of severe cases in those hospitalization numbers are getting lower and lower. Not sure if that is better treatment, younger patients, or some combination of both (or something else, I guess). A very high percentage of cases are still just in 4 counties. People in Charleston, Columbia, Greenville, and Myrtle Beach really need to chill out, stay farther away from each other, and wear a mask. Those 4 places are going to cost everyone else a fall prep sports season.
On the bright side - the number of deaths are still pretty level.