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COVID-19 Check-in 2.0

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Comments

  • BankwalkerBankwalker Posts: 5,348 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    Yep. Pandemics do happen. That’s what everyone has been saying. Darwin had a few things right.

    The country should be awarded one of those Darwin Awards for the way we’ve destroyed ourselves.

  • YaleDawgYaleDawg Posts: 7,112 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    Haha I agree but we're probably thinking of different groups who would get it.

  • Denmen185Denmen185 Posts: 7,403 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    The 2 tables above show total data through end April and the month of May.

    You can see that the %Pos in NY and NY were 34% and 48% respectively. This indicates that testing was totally inadequate as we know at that time. This means that cases were way understated (likely by a factor of 3-5) compared with it would have been at today's level of testing. It also means that testing was so restricted that the severity of the cases found were much much higher than those being identified today. Therefore it's not an apples to apples comparison to compare 300,000 cases in March/April with 300,000 cases in May/June/July and expect to have CFR anywhere close to each other. The deaths per million is a valid comparison but you should take account of the fact that NY/NJ were caught completely unawares and so didn't have the expertise, facilities or equipment to properly handle the onslaught. They also didn't have the beneficial changes to treatment and drugs that have occurred partly as a result of their trials and tribulations.

  • GrayDawgGrayDawg Posts: 1,907 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    This is weak. I realize you're partly trying to wind a certain person or two up, but really? I could argue with the same lack of muster that socialism causes the problem. The US is as much a socialist country as it is a capitalist country at this point. To imply all blame belongs one way or another is dishonest at best.

  • BankwalkerBankwalker Posts: 5,348 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    @YaleDawg I know the link will turn your stomach, but the last sentence immediately made me think “Gold Standard.” Thoughts?


  • YaleDawgYaleDawg Posts: 7,112 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    I don't want to say he's a liar but he is definitely mistaken that policy changed because of a hairdresser study alone. He is correct that the data before hand weren't that strong, but as the pandemic progressed places that mandated masks or had cultural norms for mask wearing had lower transmission of the virus and lower death rates. We also have data from the US showing places that mandated masks have lower transmission of the virus after the mandate. Sure, an RCT would be the best form of evidence but no one is suggesting that masks will cure covid-19 or that it's a cure all.

    I would suggest to stop reading breitbart. They make money lying to you about things they know will trigger you.

  • BankwalkerBankwalker Posts: 5,348 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited July 2020

    I read a lot of things from all perspectives. About the only thing I won’t read is salon.

    Actually, someone did say that wearing masks would be a cure all. The head of the CDC said we could drive this thing in to the ground if everyone would just wear a mask.

  • YaleDawgYaleDawg Posts: 7,112 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
  • KaseyKasey Posts: 28,879 mod

    Well socialist for major corporations that go crying poor with their hands out for their buddies in congress to help them out but tell ham and egger small businesses to kick rocks when asking for the same money? That kind of socialism? That I agree with.

    The game seems rigged for the big boys which is all I was trying to get across in my statement.

  • PerroGrandePerroGrande Posts: 6,125 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    Bankwalker, thanks for sending me the link to the Medcram #97 video on vitamin D and CV 19. I thought it was so good that I would link it here for anyone interested in watching and learning. The Doc is a pulmonologist in CA who is experienced in treating CV 19. I thought it was interesting that he was discussing the same exact paper I linked here last week by one of the world's foremost vitamin D experts. I also felt somewhat vindicated in reading the paper because the doctors made so many of the points I have argued here and the paper wasn't published until last week.

    https://youtu.be/Mdc7T2UTHBI

  • PerroGrandePerroGrande Posts: 6,125 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited July 2020

    Denmen, although you make some good points about the testing, I don't think that comes close to explaining the higher death rates in winter. You mentioned it in passing at the end, but obviously the death rate per million wouldn't be affected by testing. I led with that point for a reason. Also, most studies show that the South has more of the risk factors for CV--higher African American, diabetes, obesity, etc., populations and therefore the South should have a higher death rate, not a lower one. Florida has those factors and millions of old people to boot--the very highest risk group. And yet, CT currently has over a 4X higher death rate than the Sunshine State. That's remarkable. IMHO, vitamin D levels in the population are the most logical explanation.

  • BankwalkerBankwalker Posts: 5,348 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    Jimmy Carter was elected President of the United States.

    If that doesn’t make you wonder how long the media has been at this game then what will?

  • Denmen185Denmen185 Posts: 7,403 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
  • Denmen185Denmen185 Posts: 7,403 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited July 2020

    The improvement is split between testing and treatment. In what proportions is the issue. I would point out that the treatment "We" is globally of which US is a part.

    You don't think a surprise attack is often more deadly than others?

    Did we not learn from 9/11?

  • YaleDawgYaleDawg Posts: 7,112 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    I would take anything from Holick with a huge grain of salt. He has extensive financial ties to testing facilities which push for more vitamin D testing, the supplement industry, and the tanning bed industry. He also pushes the sale of his book on vitamin D. His vitamin D advocacy is fanatical, the dude thinks dinosaurs went extinct from lack of vitamin D.

    He has used is position to help parents who abuse their children to retain custody. He says the broken bones were caused by a rare genetic disease in over 300 cases and never by abuse. This was disputed by actual experts for that genetic disease. In one instance the parent he helped to retain custody went on to bash their 9-months old's head in causing a traumatic brain injury. Holick is no longer allowed to treat children because of his abuses.

    Again, lower levels of vitamin D are likely caused by illness and not the other way around.

    Show me an RCT treating COVID-19 (they have already been done with everything else to no effect) and I'll change my mind.

  • BankwalkerBankwalker Posts: 5,348 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    That Holick guy is a real maroon. Devotes his life to deceiving people in to taking a supplement so he can profit, but in doing so chooses the least profitable he could have picked.

    The disease definitely effects the ill more often, but which came first? If treating with vitamin D helps make them less susceptible, then where’s the harm? To dismiss a simple and essentially free supplement every human needs simply because it isn’t profitable is deserving of an internment camp for those so responsible. All in the name of profit.

  • PerroGrandePerroGrande Posts: 6,125 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate
    edited July 2020

    Yale, IMO that is a pretty sloppy hatchet job on Dr. Holick. Even if one were to buy into the poorly disguised attack, it isn't like Holick is alone. There are busloads of scientists and doctors who are saying the same things about vitamin D. The science is there. That article was written in 2018. In my view, Holick appears to be vindicated and KHN appears to be the one that is misleading the public based on my look at the evidence with this disease. We could look at their financial interests and infer some nefarious motive, too. Anybody who is paid could have their motives questioned with that logic. While I don't disagree that disease might cause lower D levels, there are a boatload of studies showing D deficiency in winter in the general population. It is much worse at higher latitudes, among people with dark skin, in the obese, among diabetics, and among shut-ins, and the elderly--all (coincidentally?) at much higher risk with this disease, BTW. The levels are low because people haven't been exposed light in the UVB wavelength and they don't get vitamin D in their diet.

  • YaleDawgYaleDawg Posts: 7,112 ✭✭✭✭✭ Graduate

    Who is dismissing it because it isn't profitable? Seriously, what are you talking about? Its recommended that at risk groups take a vitamin D supplement of around 600-800 IU depending on their age. Holick gets paid lots of money to push vitamin D supplements including mega doses of 50000 IU for everyone, tanning beds (a high risk carcinogen), and the necessity for widespread vitamin d testing. He made important advancements early in his career but he sold out and helps child abusers keep their kids as a hobby for some reason.

    Vitamin D helps absorb calcium from the intestines making it important for bone health. We know it does that for sure. There have been lots of RCTs for vitamin D from heart disease to cancer and to asthma but they don't show much.

This discussion has been closed.