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COVID-19 Check-in 2.0
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Comments
Would it be logical to assume the death rate of the virus is the same everywhere regardless of differences in population density, age, health, etc? Or regardless of climate and geographic differences? Or regardless of treatment advances?
That doesn't seem logical to me. Even if you take the position that you've got to start somewhere, the numbers for NY are so incomplete that it seems an illogical place to start. I'm not advocating for sunshine pumping from the number crunchers, but I can't help but see doom and gloom in some of these predictions.
I 100% admit political bias. I'll let others determine which side I lean.
Can the Mods ask the IT guys to create a "Countdown to Kickoff" time stamp that attaches to each post on this thread?
I didn't say anything about a finding a narrative. I said look at the numbers. NY has over 80% more tests per million than FL. If somebody has missed cases, it is probably FL. FL has a much older population. Now they have more cases. NY has >5X more deaths and almost 6X more deaths per million.
You said i was not looking hard enough.
FWIW a good analyst doesn't just look at the numbers, they look below the surface. You are just looking at one variable not the multitude that go into the result.
Or FL not counting deaths! The Ny testing has greatly improved and for July are way overtesting. I guess that has nothing to do with the 1.1% %Pos skewing the average. Let's be charitable and say it's contract tracing which reflects well on their strategy and make them more reactive to future spikes.
Fried bologna sandwiches have been known to be a diversion of stress. I suggest many of you to take time out of your stress related posting, cook and eat one.
At the math. Conspiracy theories now? I doubt many deaths are being hidden. And, you are coming up with alibis for details that ignore the elephant in the room (sorry)--5-10X higher death rates in winter. By the way, that is similar to how the flu behaves. The pattern isn't atypical. Deaths are commensurate with the spike and you can see that the pattern is similar every year. (from CDC)
You can read more here.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/season/flu-season.htm
@AnotherDawg
that kickoff time clock would go into 2021 and depress everyone
You have decided what the answer is and clutching at straws to prove it. Deaths are not being recorded properly as I've been saying for months. Deaths from Flu are seasonal as certain as heat s troke is. That is because the incidence rate is seasonal, not the potency.
Ugh. Congrats on finding a way to make my humorous post political. You've turned into some sort of evil genius. Might be time to escape from Minnesota...
That is what happens when a New York ex hotel doorman leaves for the upper midwest they turn evil minus the genius part......and on topic had over 1300 new cases today after having 650 yesterday with the low weekend numbers report from Monday
I regret coming back. @texdawg, save me a spot at the bar. Drinks for the house, on me.
Underreported deaths should be easy to identify. How many excess deaths has the State of Florida had so far this year?
Ya voy.
They run about 8 weeks behind on excess deaths so as most have occurred in the last 5 weeks I cannot give you a number. It should be noted that Cases include non-residents but deaths do not. The total so far there is 118. I also identified discrepancies in deaths reported that appear to be from 7/21-7/27 that total over 500 are in fact before 7/20 (A post from yesterday if you are interested to find). These could be higher given the allegations made that the deaths do not comply with CDC guidelines that presumptive deaths should be included. The deaths are likely running increasingly behind given the rising total. Unlike you I have again answered your question with an answer rather than a serious of questions to avoid doing so.